Post Holdings Valuation

POST Stock  USD 104.41  0.06  0.06%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Post Holdings holds a recent Real Value of $103.01 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $104.41. Our model determines the value of Post Holdings from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0854, shares outstanding of 51.6 M, and Operating Margin of 0.09 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Post Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
1.4364
Enterprise Value
12.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.7128
Price Sales
0.6675
Forward PE
28.7356
Fairly Valued
Today
104.41
Please note that Post Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Post Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Post Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Post Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 104.41, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  104.41 Real  103.01 Target  124.38 Hype  104.41 Naive  108.63
The intrinsic value of Post Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Post Holdings' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
101.31
Downside
103.00
Real Value
104.71
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Post Holdings helps investors to forecast how Post stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Post Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Post Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.711.801.88
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.71104.41106.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
106.93108.63110.32
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
113.18124.38138.06
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Post Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Post Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Post Holdings' closest peers.

Post Holdings Cash

193.04 Million

Post Revenue by Product

Post Holdings Total Value Analysis

Post Holdings is at this time projected to have valuation of 12.92 B with market capitalization of 5.45 B, debt of 7.42 B, and cash on hands of 747.4 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Post Holdings fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.92 B
5.45 B
7.42 B
747.4 M

Post Holdings Investor Information

About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Post Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.5. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Post Holdings had 1528:1000 split on the 11th of March 2022. Based on the key indicators related to Post Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Post Holdings is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.140.1739
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating IncomeB979.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Post Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Post Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 60.3 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.6 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Post Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Post Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on Post Holdings' profitability indicators, Post Holdings is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Post Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-09-30
Previous Quarter
108.8 M
Current Value
51 M
Quarterly Volatility
118 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Post Holdings' Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.18 in 2026, whereas Operating Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.14 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.350.4175
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.140.1739
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
For Post Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Post Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Post Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Post Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Post Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Post Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Post Holdings' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Post Holdings' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Post Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Post Holdings is projected to generate 1.8016 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Post Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Post Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Post Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Post Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Post Holdings Ownership Allocation

Post Holdings owns a total of 51.6 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Post Holdings outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Post Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Post Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Post Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost five million eight hundred sixty-seven thousand three hundred thirty-two invesors are currently shorting Post Holdings expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Post Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.16 B. Net Income was 335.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.34 B.

About Post Holdings Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Post Holdings' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Post Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Post Holdings. We calculate exposure to Post Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Post Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.5 B2.6 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.17  0.18 
Operating Profit Margin 0.17  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.12 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.35 

Post Holdings Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Post Holdings does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.311
Forward Price Earnings28.7356

Post Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Post Holdings' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Post Holdings' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Post Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Post Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Post Holdings' worth.

Additional Tools for Post Stock Analysis

When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.